SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sion win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sion | Draw | Lausanne Sport |
43.72% ( -3.06) | 25.14% ( 0.46) | 31.14% ( 2.6) |
| Both teams to score 55.78% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.41% ( -0.69) | 47.58% ( 0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.21% ( -0.64) | 69.79% ( 0.64) |
| Sion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.24% ( -1.64) | 21.76% ( 1.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.05% ( -2.56) | 54.94% ( 2.56) |
| Lausanne Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.29% ( 1.46) | 28.7% ( -1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.47% ( 1.79) | 64.53% ( -1.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sion | Draw | Lausanne Sport |
| 1-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.29)2-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.54)3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.39)3-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.48)3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.25)4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.26)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.42% Total : 43.72% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.43)0-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.51)1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.3)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.28)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.63% Total : 31.14% |
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