SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lausanne Sport win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Basel had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lausanne Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lausanne Sport | Draw | Basel |
41.08% ( 1.1) | 23.75% ( -0.28) | 35.17% ( -0.82) |
| Both teams to score 62.12% ( 0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.09% ( 1.24) | 39.9% ( -1.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.73% ( 1.27) | 62.26% ( -1.27) |
| Lausanne Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.27% ( 1.03) | 19.73% ( -1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.25% ( 1.65) | 51.74% ( -1.65) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.38% ( 0.13) | 22.61% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.76% ( 0.2) | 56.23% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lausanne Sport | Draw | Basel |
| 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.14)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.17% Total : 41.08% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.26)3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 8% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.36)0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.4% Total : 35.17% |
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