Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sion win with a probability of 37.2%. A win for Vaduz had a probability of 37.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sion win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Vaduz win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sion would win this match.