Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Vaduz had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.51%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Vaduz win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Servette would win this match.
