Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 55.23%. A win for Servette had a probability of 23.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.49%) and 1-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-2 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.