Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 48.06%. A win for Vaduz had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.5%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Vaduz win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.