SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 46.36%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Penafiel had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Penafiel win it was 0-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estrela Amadora | Draw | Penafiel |
| 46.36% | 27.95% | 25.7% |
| Both teams to score 44.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.02% | 60.98% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.02% | 80.98% |
| Estrela Amadora Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.63% | 26.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.48% | 61.52% |
| Penafiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.96% | 40.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.31% | 76.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| Estrela Amadora | Draw | Penafiel |
| 1-0 @ 14.07% 2-0 @ 9.38% 2-1 @ 8.59% 3-0 @ 4.17% 3-1 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.39% 4-1 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.93% Total : 46.36% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 10.55% 2-2 @ 3.93% Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.94% | 0-1 @ 9.66% 1-2 @ 5.9% 0-2 @ 4.42% 1-3 @ 1.8% 0-3 @ 1.35% 2-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.36% Total : 25.7% |
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