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Taca da Liga | Second Round
Aug 1, 2021 at 11am UK
Estádio José Gomes
P

Estrela Amadora
0 - 1
Penafiel


Garcias Neves Maria (88'), Dantas (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Porfirio Maximiano Rodrigo (37')
Pedro Magalhaes Valente (50'), Pedro da Silva e Sousa (65'), Farias (66'), Edgar Neto Vaz (90+3')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Second Round clash between Estrela Amadora and Penafiel.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 46.36%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Penafiel had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Penafiel win it was 0-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Estrela AmadoraDrawPenafiel
46.36%27.95%25.7%
Both teams to score 44.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.02%60.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.02%80.98%
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.63%26.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.48%61.52%
Penafiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.96%40.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.31%76.69%
Score Analysis
    Estrela Amadora 46.36%
    Penafiel 25.7%
    Draw 27.94%
Estrela AmadoraDrawPenafiel
1-0 @ 14.07%
2-0 @ 9.38%
2-1 @ 8.59%
3-0 @ 4.17%
3-1 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 1.75%
4-0 @ 1.39%
4-1 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 46.36%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 10.55%
2-2 @ 3.93%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 27.94%
0-1 @ 9.66%
1-2 @ 5.9%
0-2 @ 4.42%
1-3 @ 1.8%
0-3 @ 1.35%
2-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 25.7%

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