Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leixoes win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for UD Oliveirense had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leixoes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest UD Oliveirense win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leixoes would win this match.
0.08) 
-0.02) 
