Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 47.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Academica de Coimbra had a probability of 26.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for an Academica de Coimbra win it was 0-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.