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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
May 10, 2021 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal
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Portimonense
1 - 2
Moreirense

Fabricio (20' pen.)
Willyan (33')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ferraresi (44'), Franco (82')
Pacheco (12')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 42.06%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 28.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 2-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
PortimonenseDrawMoreirense
42.06%29.28%28.66%
Both teams to score 42.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.1%63.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.89%83.11%
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.93%30.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.8%66.2%
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.85%39.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.14%75.86%
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 42.05%
    Moreirense 28.65%
    Draw 29.26%
PortimonenseDrawMoreirense
1-0 @ 14.14%
2-0 @ 8.5%
2-1 @ 7.97%
3-0 @ 3.4%
3-1 @ 3.19%
3-2 @ 1.5%
4-0 @ 1.02%
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 42.05%
1-1 @ 13.26%
0-0 @ 11.76%
2-2 @ 3.74%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 29.26%
0-1 @ 11.03%
1-2 @ 6.22%
0-2 @ 5.18%
1-3 @ 1.95%
0-3 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 28.65%

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