Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 42.06%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 28.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 2-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
