Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round

Nov 23, 2024 at 12pm UK

Estadio Joao Paulo II

Lusitania
vs.
Sao Joao Ver

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Lusitania and Sao Joao Ver.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lusitania

Last Game: Penafiel 2-3 Lusitania
Monday, October 21 at 11am in Taca de Portugal

Sao Joao Ver

Last Game: Sao Joao Ver 4-1 Paredes
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lusitania win with a probability of 48.73%. A win for Sao Joao Ver has a probability of 26.15% and a draw has a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lusitania win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Sao Joao Ver win is 0-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.94%).

Result
Lusitania	Draw	Sao Joao Ver
48.73% ( -3.07)	25.12% ( 0.25)	26.15% ( 2.83)

Both teams to score 52.52% (

2.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.69% (

1.34)

50.32% (

-1.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.74% (

1.18)

72.26% (

-1.17)

Lusitania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.33% (

-0.73)

20.67% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.75% (

-1.18)

53.26% (

1.19)

Sao Joao Ver Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.2% (

3.19)

33.8% (

-3.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.54% (

3.32)

70.46% (

-3.31)

Score Analysis

Lusitania 48.73%

Sao Joao Ver 26.15%

Draw 25.12%

Lusitania	Draw	Sao Joao Ver
1-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.87) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.91) 3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.59) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.28) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.62% Total : 48.73%	1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.36) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.12%	0-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.6) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.47) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.39) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.27) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.28) Other @ 2.31% Total : 26.15%