Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Parque de Jogos Pardal Monteiro
FC Serpa win 8-7 on penalties
Pires (57'), Osei (93')
FT
(aet)
Marques (49'), Baiao (84'), Alves (87'), Santana (91'), Kaje (99')
Baiao (101')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Pero Pinheiro and FC Serpa.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Serpa win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Pero Pinheiro had a probability of 36.64% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Serpa win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Pero Pinheiro win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%).
| Result |
| Pero Pinheiro | Draw | FC Serpa |
36.64% ( -0.41) | 25.99% ( 0.04) | 37.37% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 54.28% ( -0.14) |
| 49.88% ( -0.18) | 50.12% ( 0.18) |
| 27.92% ( -0.16) | 72.08% ( 0.16) |
| 73.47% ( -0.32) | 26.53% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.27% ( -0.43) | 61.73% ( 0.43) |
| 73.88% ( 0.13) | 26.12% ( -0.13) |
