Under-20s World Cup | Group Stage
May 27, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Malvinas Argentinas
Coverage of the Under-20s World Cup Group Stage clash between Dominican Republic Under-20s and Italy Under-20s.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-20s win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for Dominican Republic Under-20s had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-20s win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Dominican Republic Under-20s win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy Under-20s would win this match.
| Result |
| Dominican Republic Under-20s | Draw | Italy Under-20s |
26.27% ( 1.21) | 25.75% ( 0.4) | 47.98% ( -1.61) |
| Both teams to score 50.71% ( -0.12) |
| 47.27% ( -0.68) | 52.73% ( 0.68) |
| 25.63% ( -0.59) | 74.36% ( 0.59) |
| Dominican Republic Under-20s Goals |
| 65% ( 0.65) | 34.99% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.26% ( 0.68) | 71.73% ( -0.68) |
| 78.01% ( -0.98) | 21.99% ( 0.98) |
