Under-20s World Cup | Round of 16
Jun 1, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Único Madre de Ciudades
We said: Ecuador Under-20s 1-2 South Korea Under-20s
Ecuador have flattered to deceive both in this tournament and in qualifying despite progressing with two wins, and it is hard to take much from their victory over Fiji especially given how weak the opposition were.
South Korea started with a statement win over an ultimately disappointing France side, and the losing finalists from four years ago may spring another surprise here, as they are proving hard to beat in this competition so far.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador Under-20s win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for South Korea Under-20s had a probability of 19.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador Under-20s win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a South Korea Under-20s win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that South Korea Under-20s would win this match.
| Result |
| Ecuador Under-20s | Draw | South Korea Under-20s |
57.91% ( -1.74) | 22.23% ( -0.12) | 19.86% ( 1.86) |
| Both teams to score 54% ( 3.65) |
| 55.41% ( 3.23) | 44.59% ( -3.23) |
| 33.04% ( 3.05) | 66.95% ( -3.05) |
| 84.88% ( 0.53) | 15.11% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.32% ( 0.99) | 43.67% ( -0.99) |
| South Korea Under-20s Goals |
| 63.61% ( 3.93) | 36.39% ( -3.93) |
