SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan Under-22s | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Portugal Under-19s | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Chile Under-21s | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 4 | England Under-20s | 3 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay Under-20s win with a probability of 64.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for England Under-20s had a probability of 14.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay Under-20s win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a England Under-20s win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Uruguay Under-20s | Draw | England Under-20s |
64.52% ( 3.52) | 20.82% ( -1.52) | 14.67% ( -1.99) |
| Both teams to score 47.96% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.73% ( 2.68) | 47.27% ( -2.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.51% ( 2.44) | 69.49% ( -2.44) |
| Uruguay Under-20s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.09% ( 2.01) | 13.91% ( -2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.64% ( 3.82) | 41.36% ( -3.81) |
| England Under-20s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.71% ( -1.06) | 44.3% ( 1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.64% ( -0.88) | 80.37% ( 0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Uruguay Under-20s | Draw | England Under-20s |
| 1-0 @ 12.15% ( -0.49) 2-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.36)2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.76)3-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.45)4-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.62)4-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.42)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.11)5-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.33)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.14)5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.24)Other @ 2.58% Total : 64.5% | 1-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.7) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.72)2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.79% Total : 20.82% | 0-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.75) 1-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.42)0-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.38)1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.4% Total : 14.67% |
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