SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Under-20s win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for Uruguay Under-20s had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA Under-20s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Uruguay Under-20s win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| USA Under-20s | Draw | Uruguay Under-20s |
46.71% ( -0.24) | 24.21% ( 0.15) | 29.07% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 57.75% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.52% ( -0.61) | 44.48% ( 0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.15% ( -0.59) | 66.85% ( 0.6) |
| USA Under-20s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.82% ( -0.34) | 19.18% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.15% ( -0.57) | 50.85% ( 0.57) |
| Uruguay Under-20s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.45% ( -0.24) | 28.55% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.66% ( -0.31) | 64.34% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| USA Under-20s | Draw | Uruguay Under-20s |
| 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.2% Total : 46.71% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.21% | 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 29.07% |
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