Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Under-21s win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Austria Under-21s had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a England Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Austria Under-21s win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that England Under-21s would win this match.