Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria Under-21s win with a probability of 49.17%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Latvia Under-21s had a probability of 23.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria Under-21s win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Latvia Under-21s win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bulgaria Under-21s in this match.