Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia Under-21s win with a probability of 44.51%. A win for Switzerland Under-21s had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.99%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Switzerland Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Croatia Under-21s would win this match.