Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland Under-21s win with a probability of 71.11%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Estonia Under-21s had a probability of 11.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland Under-21s win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.15%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Estonia Under-21s win it was 1-0 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Poland Under-21s would win this match.