Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland Under-21s win with a probability of 71.11%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Estonia Under-21s had a probability of 11.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland Under-21s win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.15%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Estonia Under-21s win it was 1-0 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Poland Under-21s would win this match.
Result | ||
Estonia Under-21s | Draw | Poland Under-21s |
11.48% | 17.42% | 71.11% |
Both teams to score 50.11% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.46% | 39.55% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.11% | 61.9% |
Estonia Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.6% | 44.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.55% | 80.45% |
Poland Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.12% | 9.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.25% | 32.75% |
Score Analysis |
Estonia Under-21s | Draw | Poland Under-21s |
1-0 @ 3.56% 2-1 @ 3.35% 2-0 @ 1.45% 3-2 @ 1.05% 3-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.17% Total : 11.48% | 1-1 @ 8.24% 0-0 @ 4.39% 2-2 @ 3.87% Other @ 0.91% Total : 17.42% | 0-2 @ 11.75% 0-1 @ 10.15% 1-2 @ 9.54% 0-3 @ 9.07% 1-3 @ 7.36% 0-4 @ 5.25% 1-4 @ 4.26% 2-3 @ 2.99% 0-5 @ 2.43% 1-5 @ 1.97% 2-4 @ 1.73% 0-6 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.66% Total : 71.1% |
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