Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania Under-21s win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Finland Under-21s had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Finland Under-21s win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Romania Under-21s would win this match.