Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia Under-21s win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Azerbaijan Under-21s had a probability of 37.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Georgia Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Azerbaijan Under-21s win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Georgia Under-21s would win this match.