Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia Under-21s win with a probability of 47.69%. A win for Slovakia Under-21s had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Georgia Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.5%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Slovakia Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Georgia Under-21s in this match.