Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-21s win with a probability of 93.53%. A draw had a probability of 5.4% and a win for Gibraltar Under-21s had a probability of 1.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-21s win was 0-3 with a probability of 17.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.2%) and 0-4 (14.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (2.66%), while for a Gibraltar Under-21s win it was 1-0 (0.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 17.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Portugal Under-21s in this match.