SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany Under-21s win with a probability of 66.92%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Moldova Under-21s had a probability of 13.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany Under-21s win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.97%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Moldova Under-21s win it was 1-0 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Germany Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Moldova Under-21s | Draw | Germany Under-21s |
| 13.68% | 19.4% | 66.92% |
| Both teams to score 50% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.82% | 43.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.42% | 65.58% |
| Moldova Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.8% | 43.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.54% | 79.46% |
| Germany Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.02% | 11.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.61% | 37.38% |
| Score Analysis |
| Moldova Under-21s | Draw | Germany Under-21s |
| 1-0 @ 4.34% 2-1 @ 3.87% 2-0 @ 1.82% 3-2 @ 1.15% 3-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.42% Total : 13.68% | 1-1 @ 9.21% 0-0 @ 5.17% 2-2 @ 4.1% Other @ 0.91% Total : 19.4% | 0-2 @ 11.65% 0-1 @ 10.97% 1-2 @ 9.78% 0-3 @ 8.24% 1-3 @ 6.92% 0-4 @ 4.38% 1-4 @ 3.67% 2-3 @ 2.9% 0-5 @ 1.86% 1-5 @ 1.56% 2-4 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.44% Total : 66.91% |
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