Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany Under-21s win with a probability of 66.92%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Moldova Under-21s had a probability of 13.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany Under-21s win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.97%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Moldova Under-21s win it was 1-0 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Germany Under-21s would win this match.