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European Under-21s Championship | Semi-Finals
Jun 3, 2021 at 8pm UK
MOL Aréna Sóstó (Székesfehérvár)

Netherlands U21s
1 - 2
Germany U21s

Schuurs (67')
Harroui (26'), de Wit (86'), Sierhuis (90')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Wirtz (1', 8')
Baku (54'), Dorsch (79'), Stach (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands Under-21s win with a probability of 50.98%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Germany Under-21s had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands Under-21s win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Germany Under-21s win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Netherlands Under-21sDrawGermany Under-21s
50.98%24.91%24.1%
Both teams to score 51.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.91%51.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.05%72.94%
Netherlands Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.96%20.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.75%52.25%
Germany Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.03%35.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.25%72.74%
Score Analysis
    Netherlands Under-21s 50.98%
    Germany Under-21s 24.1%
    Draw 24.9%
Netherlands Under-21sDrawGermany Under-21s
1-0 @ 11.58%
2-1 @ 9.52%
2-0 @ 9.31%
3-1 @ 5.1%
3-0 @ 4.99%
3-2 @ 2.61%
4-1 @ 2.05%
4-0 @ 2.01%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 50.98%
1-1 @ 11.84%
0-0 @ 7.21%
2-2 @ 4.87%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 24.9%
0-1 @ 7.37%
1-2 @ 6.06%
0-2 @ 3.77%
1-3 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 24.1%

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