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European Under-21s Championship | Quarter-finals
May 31, 2021 at 5pm UK
 

Netherlands U21s
2 - 1
France U21s

Boadu (51', 90+3')
de Wit (13'), Kluivert (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Upamecano (23')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Under-21s win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Netherlands Under-21s had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a France Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.34%) and 0-2 (5.48%). The likeliest Netherlands Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Netherlands Under-21sDrawFrance Under-21s
35.32%22.93%41.74%
Both teams to score 65.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.18%35.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.11%57.89%
Netherlands Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.33%20.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.76%53.24%
France Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.26%17.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.58%48.41%
Score Analysis
    Netherlands Under-21s 35.32%
    France Under-21s 41.74%
    Draw 22.93%
Netherlands Under-21sDrawFrance Under-21s
2-1 @ 7.88%
1-0 @ 5.78%
2-0 @ 4.56%
3-1 @ 4.14%
3-2 @ 3.58%
3-0 @ 2.4%
4-1 @ 1.63%
4-2 @ 1.41%
4-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3%
Total : 35.32%
1-1 @ 9.99%
2-2 @ 6.82%
0-0 @ 3.66%
3-3 @ 2.07%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.93%
1-2 @ 8.64%
0-1 @ 6.34%
0-2 @ 5.48%
1-3 @ 4.98%
2-3 @ 3.93%
0-3 @ 3.16%
1-4 @ 2.16%
2-4 @ 1.7%
0-4 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 41.74%

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