Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece Under-21s win with a probability of 82.8%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for San Marino Under-21s had a probability of 3.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greece Under-21s win was 0-2 with a probability of 19.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (16.71%) and 0-3 (14.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.23%), while for a San Marino Under-21s win it was 1-0 (2.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greece Under-21s would win this match.