Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland Under-21s win with a probability of 80.9%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for San Marino Under-21s had a probability of 5.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scotland Under-21s win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.73%) and 0-3 (13.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.23%), while for a San Marino Under-21s win it was 1-0 (2.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scotland Under-21s would win this match.