Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-21s win with a probability of 96.21%. A draw had a probability of 3.1% and a win for Slovenia Under-21s had a probability of 0.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-21s win was 0-4 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (14.14%) and 0-5 (12.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.43%), while for a Slovenia Under-21s win it was 1-0 (0.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spain Under-21s would win this match.