Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-21s win with a probability of 77.43%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Kazakhstan Under-21s had a probability of 7.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-21s win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.14%) and 1-0 (10.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.07%), while for a Kazakhstan Under-21s win it was 0-1 (2.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spain Under-21s would win this match.