Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Desna Chernihiv had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Desna Chernihiv | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
34.11% | 26.06% | 39.83% |
Both teams to score 53.76% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.34% | 50.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.44% | 72.56% |
Desna Chernihiv Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.7% | 28.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.97% | 64.02% |
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.97% | 25.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.31% | 59.69% |
Score Analysis |
Desna Chernihiv | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
1-0 @ 8.94% 2-1 @ 7.82% 2-0 @ 5.64% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-0 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.11% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.08% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 9.81% 1-2 @ 8.58% 0-2 @ 6.8% 1-3 @ 3.96% 0-3 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 2.5% 1-4 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.59% Total : 39.83% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: