Desna
3 - 2
Shakhtar

Fernando (4'), Marlos (25', 51')
Matviyenko (31'), Antonio (87')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Favorov (32' pen.), Budkivskyi (88')
Dombrovskyi (28'), Kalitvintsev (82'), Budkivskyi (84')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Desna Chernihiv and Shakhtar Donetsk.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Desna Chernihiv had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Desna Chernihiv	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
34.11%	26.06%	39.83%

Both teams to score 53.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.34%

50.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.44%

72.56%

Desna Chernihiv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.7%

28.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.97%

64.02%

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.97%

25.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.31%

59.69%

Score Analysis

Desna Chernihiv 34.11%

Shakhtar Donetsk 39.83%

Draw 26.05%

Desna Chernihiv	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 8.94% 2-1 @ 7.82% 2-0 @ 5.64% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-0 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.11%	1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.08% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.05%	0-1 @ 9.81% 1-2 @ 8.58% 0-2 @ 6.8% 1-3 @ 3.96% 0-3 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 2.5% 1-4 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.59% Total : 39.83%