Shakhtar
3 - 1
Dynamo Kiev

Marlos (39', 67'), Antonio (74')
Ismaily (24'), Kovalenko (46')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Buyalskyy (38')
Popov (22')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Dynamo Kiev.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 41%. A win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Dynamo Kiev win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	Dynamo Kiev
41%	26.06%	32.94%

Both teams to score 53.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.09%

50.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.22%

72.78%

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.47%

24.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41%

59%

Dynamo Kiev Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.83%

29.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.89%

65.11%

Score Analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk 41%

Dynamo Kiev 32.94%

Draw 26.05%

Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	Dynamo Kiev
1-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 8.71% 2-0 @ 7.07% 3-1 @ 4.08% 3-0 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.68% Total : 41%	1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.15% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.05%	0-1 @ 8.82% 1-2 @ 7.63% 0-2 @ 5.43% 1-3 @ 3.13% 0-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.94%