Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest FC Oleksandriya win was 1-0 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Desna Chernihiv would win this match.