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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 3
Jun 14, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
KSK Nika

Oleksandriya
1 - 5
Desna

Tretyakov (46')
Bukhal (43'), Baboglo (54'), Vantukh (68')
Baboglo (59')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Filippov (29', 77' pen.), Kalitvintsev (44'), Gitchenko (55'), Totovytsky (90+5')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between FC Oleksandriya and Desna Chernihiv.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest FC Oleksandriya win was 1-0 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Desna Chernihiv would win this match.

Result
FC OleksandriyaDrawDesna Chernihiv
34.21%26.41%39.38%
Both teams to score 52.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.89%52.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.17%73.83%
FC Oleksandriya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.05%28.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.16%64.84%
Desna Chernihiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.07%25.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.07%60.93%
Score Analysis
    FC Oleksandriya 34.21%
    Desna Chernihiv 39.38%
    Draw 26.41%
FC OleksandriyaDrawDesna Chernihiv
1-0 @ 9.31%
2-1 @ 7.79%
2-0 @ 5.77%
3-1 @ 3.22%
3-0 @ 2.38%
3-2 @ 2.17%
4-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 34.21%
1-1 @ 12.56%
0-0 @ 7.51%
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 10.13%
1-2 @ 8.48%
0-2 @ 6.84%
1-3 @ 3.81%
0-3 @ 3.08%
2-3 @ 2.36%
1-4 @ 1.29%
0-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 39.38%


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