Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Inhulets had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Inhulets win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.