Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inhulets win with a probability of 48.76%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Mariupol had a probability of 25.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inhulets win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Mariupol win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.