SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Karpaty Lviv had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Karpaty Lviv win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Karpaty Lviv | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
31.26% ( 0.12) | 26.58% ( 0.13) | 42.16% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 51.2% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.46% ( -0.47) | 53.54% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.95% ( -0.39) | 75.05% ( 0.4) |
| Karpaty Lviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.37% ( -0.15) | 31.63% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.97% ( -0.18) | 68.03% ( 0.18) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.89% ( -0.33) | 25.11% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.18% ( -0.46) | 59.82% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Karpaty Lviv | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 1-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.27% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.84% Total : 31.26% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.58% | 0-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.45% Total : 42.15% |
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