SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Obolon Kyiv win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Obolon Kyiv win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Obolon Kyiv |
32.01% ( -0.05) | 27.17% ( -0.01) | 40.82% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 49.68% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.39% ( 0.03) | 55.61% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.23% ( 0.02) | 76.77% ( -0.02) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.83% ( -0.02) | 32.17% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.35% ( -0.02) | 68.65% ( 0.02) |
| Obolon Kyiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.23% ( 0.05) | 26.77% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.95% ( 0.06) | 62.04% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Obolon Kyiv |
| 1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.73% Total : 32.01% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0)Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 11.34% 1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.08% Total : 40.82% |
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