Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 52.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Rukh Lviv had a probability of 21.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Rukh Lviv win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metalist Kharkiv would win this match.
