Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rukh Lviv win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Mariupol had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rukh Lviv win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Mariupol win was 1-0 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rukh Lviv would win this match.