Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rukh Vynnyky win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rukh Vynnyky win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rukh Vynnyky would win this match.