Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for Rukh Vynnyky had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Rukh Vynnyky win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.