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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 3
Jun 19, 2020 at 5pm UK
Butovsky Vorskla Stadium

Vorskla
2 - 0
Dnipro-1

Stepanyuk (19', 48')
Chesnakov (9'), Rebenok (29'), Kulach (40'), Sklyar (69'), Baenko (76')
Melnychuk (7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Khoblenko (25'), Kogut (26'), Di Franco (43'), Lopyronok (55'), Tsurikov (58'), Korkishko (77')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Vorskla Poltava and Dnipro-1.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 36.59%. A win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vorskla Poltava would win this match.

Result
Vorskla PoltavaDrawDnipro-1
36.59%28.42%34.99%
Both teams to score 46.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.19%59.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.91%80.1%
Vorskla Poltava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.72%31.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.37%67.63%
Dnipro-1 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.7%32.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.19%68.81%
Score Analysis
    Vorskla Poltava 36.58%
    Dnipro-1 34.98%
    Draw 28.42%
Vorskla PoltavaDrawDnipro-1
1-0 @ 11.74%
2-1 @ 7.71%
2-0 @ 6.83%
3-1 @ 2.99%
3-0 @ 2.64%
3-2 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 36.58%
1-1 @ 13.27%
0-0 @ 10.1%
2-2 @ 4.36%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.42%
0-1 @ 11.41%
1-2 @ 7.5%
0-2 @ 6.45%
1-3 @ 2.82%
0-3 @ 2.43%
2-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 34.98%


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