Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 36.59%. A win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vorskla Poltava would win this match.