SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Livyi Bereh had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Livyi Bereh win was 0-1 (11.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Livyi Bereh |
40.06% ( 0.36) | 28.92% ( 0.04) | 31.03% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 44.41% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.93% ( -0.23) | 62.06% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.22% ( -0.17) | 81.78% ( 0.17) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.69% ( 0.09) | 30.31% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.51% ( 0.11) | 66.49% ( -0.11) |
| Livyi Bereh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.72% ( -0.42) | 36.28% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.93% ( -0.43) | 73.07% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Livyi Bereh |
| 1-0 @ 13.12% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.4% Total : 40.05% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.9% | 0-1 @ 11.14% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.93% Total : 31.02% |
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