SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 74.52%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 8.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.6%) and 3-0 (10.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 0-1 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
74.52% ( -2.32) | 17.08% ( 1.6) | 8.4% ( 0.73) |
| Both teams to score 39.34% ( -1.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.64% ( -4.58) | 47.36% ( 4.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.42% ( -4.4) | 69.58% ( 4.4) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.9% ( -1.78) | 11.1% ( 1.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.51% ( -4.07) | 35.49% ( 4.07) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.25% ( -1.21) | 55.75% ( 1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.67% ( -0.72) | 88.32% ( 0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 2-0 @ 14.95% ( 0.64) 1-0 @ 13.6% ( 1.55)3-0 @ 10.95% ( -0.37)2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.46)4-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.7)4-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.55)5-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.54)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.21)5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.39)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.21)6-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.29)Other @ 2.27% Total : 74.51% | 1-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.64) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 1.11)2-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.4% Total : 17.08% | 0-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.54) 1-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.12)Other @ 1.41% Total : 8.4% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
