Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Boston River win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo Wanderers would win this match.