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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Aug 8, 2020 at 4pm UK
Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli

Cerro
1 - 0
Plaza Colonia

Cruz (46')
Brasil (22'), Bentaberry (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

(65'), (69'), Cruz Mascia (85')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and Plaza Colonia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cerro in this match.

Result
CerroDrawPlaza Colonia
42.67%27.73%29.6%
Both teams to score 47.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.55%58.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.96%79.04%
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.9%27.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.52%62.48%
Plaza Colonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.59%35.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.82%72.17%
Score Analysis
    Cerro 42.66%
    Plaza Colonia 29.6%
    Draw 27.73%
CerroDrawPlaza Colonia
1-0 @ 12.52%
2-1 @ 8.49%
2-0 @ 8.18%
3-1 @ 3.7%
3-0 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 1.92%
4-1 @ 1.21%
4-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 42.66%
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 9.6%
2-2 @ 4.41%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.73%
0-1 @ 9.96%
1-2 @ 6.75%
0-2 @ 5.17%
1-3 @ 2.34%
0-3 @ 1.79%
2-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 29.6%


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