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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Aug 8, 2020 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini

Defensor
0 - 2
Torque


Alvarez (4'), Rojo (53'), Gonzalez (59'), Cardacio (67'), Rodriguez (77'), Mendez (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rodriguez (41'), Pizzichillo (62')
Pereira (63')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Montevideo City Torque.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.

Result
Defensor SportingDrawMontevideo City Torque
33.16%25.82%41.02%
Both teams to score 54.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.14%49.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.15%71.85%
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.49%28.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.71%64.29%
Montevideo City Torque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.95%24.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.68%58.32%
Score Analysis
    Defensor Sporting 33.16%
    Montevideo City Torque 41.02%
    Draw 25.82%
Defensor SportingDrawMontevideo City Torque
1-0 @ 8.6%
2-1 @ 7.69%
2-0 @ 5.4%
3-1 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 2.29%
3-0 @ 2.26%
4-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 33.16%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 6.86%
2-2 @ 5.48%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 9.77%
1-2 @ 8.74%
0-2 @ 6.96%
1-3 @ 4.15%
0-3 @ 3.31%
2-3 @ 2.6%
1-4 @ 1.48%
0-4 @ 1.18%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 41.02%


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