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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Aug 9, 2020 at 1am UK
Estadio Domingo BurgueƱo Miguel
CL

Maldonado
1 - 1
Cerro Largo

Pereyra (90+1')
Casas (33'), Pagano (88'), Bogliacino (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Borges (38')
Gomez (31'), Pereira (45+6'), Cayetano (49'), Magallanes (64')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Deportivo Maldonado and Cerro Largo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Deportivo MaldonadoDrawCerro Largo
33.28%27.56%39.16%
Both teams to score 48.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.18%56.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.25%77.75%
Deportivo Maldonado Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.09%31.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.64%68.36%
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74%28.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.02%63.98%
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Maldonado 33.28%
    Cerro Largo 39.15%
    Draw 27.55%
Deportivo MaldonadoDrawCerro Largo
1-0 @ 10.3%
2-1 @ 7.43%
2-0 @ 5.88%
3-1 @ 2.83%
3-0 @ 2.24%
3-2 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 33.28%
1-1 @ 13.01%
0-0 @ 9.02%
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.55%
0-1 @ 11.39%
1-2 @ 8.22%
0-2 @ 7.2%
1-3 @ 3.46%
0-3 @ 3.03%
2-3 @ 1.98%
1-4 @ 1.09%
0-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 39.15%


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