Caernarfon
1 - 1
Pen-y-Bont

Hayes (82')
Thomas (18'), Williams (44'), Edwards (67'), Brookwell (72')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Davies (75')
Evans (21'), Harling (69')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Pen-y-Bont.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon Town	Draw	Pen-y-Bont
46.2%	25.1%	28.7%

Both teams to score 54.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.43%

48.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.31%

70.69%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.95%

21.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.15%

53.85%

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.09%

30.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.8%

67.2%

Score Analysis

Caernarfon Town 46.2%

Pen-y-Bont 28.7%

Draw 25.09%

Caernarfon Town	Draw	Pen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 9.28% 2-0 @ 7.9% 3-1 @ 4.82% 3-0 @ 4.1% 3-2 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.56% Total : 46.2%	1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.51% 2-2 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.09%	0-1 @ 7.64% 1-2 @ 6.99% 0-2 @ 4.49% 1-3 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.97% Total : 28.7%